黄色带三级

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    Rugged gold industry solid global new firm: continued 19-year rally, gold market analysis in midday

    2020-01-02 16:34:58

    2. According to the "European Central Bank OIS": the probability that the ECB will keep interest rates unchanged at -0.5% in January is 91.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 10 basis points to -0.40% is 8.7%; by March, the interest rate will be maintained at -0.5. The probability of constant% is 78.6%, the probability of raising interest rates by 10 basis points to -0.40% is 7.3%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 10 basis points to -0.60% is 14.1%. Point up adjustment, audio side
    1. According to CME "Fed Watch": After the Fed maintains in January, the probability of interest rates in the 1.50% -1.75% range is 93.9%, the probability of a 25 basis point reduction is 0%, and the probability of a 25 basis point increase is 6.1%; to After March maintenance, the probability of the interest rate in the 1.50% -1.75% range is 92.0%, the probability of a 25 basis point reduction is 2.1%, and the probability of a 25 basis point increase is 6.0%.
    Operation recommendations
    1513-1515 more near-near, stop loss 1512, goal 1525 near-near,
    (Analysis of the structure of the K-line) The golden day chart continued to oscillate downwards during the downtrend. During the downward process, the price was adjusted along with the drop. The RSI purpose operated over 80 areas for more than a few days. Combined with the price on Tuesday, it continued to rise and fall repeatedly, suggesting the short-term price bulls. Lack, as well as the need to fall back to consolidation, we need to pay attention to the pressure near 1525, and support 1515-15517 near the bottom,
    Technical side
    (Trend analysis) There was no clear volatility in the closing price on Thursday morning. At present, the price is running from 1515 to 1525 boxes, which constitutes a oscillating interval operation. After hitting a new high on Tuesday, gold was hindered by the pressure of 1525 and stepped back slightly to complete the strong price. The decline format is converted into shock adjustment. The price has continued to fall by nearly 50 US dollars since it first broke through 1482. It is basically in a sideways decline format. Even if it falls, it is a minor repair adjustment. The trend is bullish above the watershed of 1500.
    In terms of the US dollar index: From last week's previous day, the chart was in the form of a continuous overcast decline. The price has fallen from a high of 98 waterfalls to 96.5. The short-term strength is relatively strong, and it has further paved the way for gold to rise.
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