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    Rugged Gold Strong Global New Rugged: Seasonal demand for 12.26 gold rises

    2019-12-26 16:35:14

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    Gold even broke the 1490, 1500 mark! What is pushing down the price of gold from time to time?
    1. Weak economic data. The data shows that the yields of 10-year and 5-year U.S. Treasury bonds clearly fell on Tuesday. The yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds fell back below 1.9%. If the price continues to fall, see the resistance above Fibona. Deed 78.6% retracement level of 1501.09, further resistance sees the previous high of 1516.17, the US Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index released in December this week fell to a low of -5, far less than market expectations of 1 and the previous value of -1,
    2.The bulls opened a large position,
    3. U.S. Treasury yields have fallen, and the attractiveness of gold has increased. Although there are not many heavy figures released this week, the economic weakness is still visible to the naked eye.
    Looking forward to the market outlook, it seems that the golden “taurus” is not over yet?
    Of course, there is a lack of long-term success to satisfy the bulls. If the price goes down, the lower support level sees the upper track of the channel and the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level of 1498.25, and the further support level sees the Fibonacci 50.0% retracement level of 1480.93. The price continues to rise. Above resistance sees Fibonacci 50.0% retracement level 1501.39. Further resistance sees Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level 1514.53. After 10 years of growth, the US dollar exchange rate will weaken next year, and buyers and sellers It is concerned that as the market situation becomes more tense, heavy risks such as Brexit have also seen signs of dissolution. What is the prospect of gold in the coming year? Regarding this effect, we may wish to stop the discussion from two aspects, that is, the US dollar and the United States to practice interest rates. After the December interest rate resolution was issued, from the perspective of Powell's attitude and bitmap, the Fed can best stand still in 2020. The way to do this is to cut interest rates 1-2 times, and the ability to raise interest rates is minimal. Both spot gold and silver continued to rise. Spot gold hit a seven-and-a-half-week high to $ 1505.6 / ounce. Spot silver rose 1.4% and rose above $ 18. In terms of historical trends, in December, with the rise in physical demand for gold in Asia, the price of gold will also rise. At the same time, the rebound trend in December will often continue to January, so there is still room for gold to continue to rebound in a short time. After the price breaks the upper track of the channel, the price quickly drops and can continue to rise to 1516.17. (Failure to break below 1490)
    The daily trend of gold, the price fell sharply after breaking the upper track of the channel, and the market outlook was bullish at the end. In recent days, unstructured surveys have shown that the US dollar will continue to decline in 2020. The market is extremely bearish and the bulls will reoccupy at the end after a long hibernation. Market, with the recovery of the euro area economy and the continued development of emerging markets, the outlook for the US dollar index is dim, which is naturally a big plus for gold,
    1. On the one hand, the outlook for the US dollar does not seem to be disappointing. December 26th information-Thursday (December 26) Asian time, the US dollar index was trading near 97.6, the pound was higher against the US dollar, but the holiday elements caused increased market activity , Although the audio surface is greasy, the uncertainty of the UK-EU trade negotiations and the ability to remove the transition period after the end of 2020 can all lead to the pound ’s shock,
    2. On the other hand, the Fed ’s interest rate hike threshold is too high, the easing policy may continue, and oil prices will continue to rise. Due to the decline in U.S. inventory and disappointing international trade prospects, the MACD continues to rise, and the price breaks the upper track of the channel and can go down to 1557. Failure below 1470) Follow Ran Yuyu HLY2381 to keep abreast of market information and master the trend of the market to help you make steady profits!
    The gold retracement was near 1490, with a stop loss of 1483 and a take profit of 1510. However, the performance of the monthly durable goods order monthly rate, which was released on Monday, fell short of market expectations. The CFTC positions report shows that as of the week of December 17, The net long position of gold added 15355 to 286275; the holdings of the world's largest gold ETF, the SPDRGoldTrust gold ETF, continued to increase for three trading days. Against this background, it is estimated that the trend of the US dollar will be further suppressed, which is good for gold, The trend line since 1557 has also been broken, and the price has once again stood on the trend line, and the space above it has opened!
    Gold's 4-hour trend, the price broke the upper track of the channel, and continues to be bullish in the short term. If the price goes down, the support level below sees Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level 1488.24, and further support level see Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level 1479.99,
    Analysis of the market after gold closed at 1500!
    1. Whether or not gold will usher in the second bull this week is what everyone is waiting for! In terms of the daily line, Dayang continued to rise, and the trend did not continue to form a double top suppression at 1493, but broke the rise. According to the three criteria, the previous price continued to test for three hundred days after falling below the 100-day moving average. Moving average, and this time directly broken, then the 100-day moving average will constitute anti-support
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